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索罗斯重磅评论:欧元是否还有将来?

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发表于 2011-9-15 22:07 | 只看该作者 回帖奖励 |倒序浏览 |阅读模式

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 导读:亿万富翁投资者乔治-索罗斯(George Soros)9月15日在《纽约图书评论》(New York Review of Books)发表评论文章称,欧元区只有创立一个统一的财政部,才能解决欧债危机,才能避免金融崩溃和“大萧条”。索罗斯认为应该为希腊、葡萄牙和爱尔兰创立有序违约和暂时脱离欧元区的机制。  以下是索罗斯的评论文章全文:
  欧债危机是2008年大崩溃的直接后果。当雷曼兄弟破产之后,整个金融系统开始崩溃,只能诉诸人为的急救。急救的方式则是以政府的主权信用来替代崩溃的银行和其他信用。2008年11月,在一次值得纪念的欧洲财长会议上,财长们担保任何对金融体系的运作具有重要性的金融机构都不能允许其破产,美国也很快效法。
  默克尔当时宣布,担保应该由欧洲各国单独实施,而非欧盟或欧元区采取整体行动。这就为欧债危机埋下了隐患,因为它暴露和激活了欧元构造的一个隐秘弱点——缺乏统一的财政部。2010年,欧债危机在一年多之后爆发。
  欧债危机与导致2008年崩溃的次贷危机有相似之处。在两次危机中,被视为无风险资产的债务抵押债券(CDO)都失去了部分或全部价值,2008年CDO主要基于抵押贷款,现在则是欧洲政府债券。
  不幸的是,欧债危机更加棘手。在2008年,美国应对危机所需的各种金融当局一个不少;而现在,在欧元区,这些当局之一——共同的财政部——仍未建立。它的建立是一个需要各个主权国家参与的政治过程。这正是现在问题如此严峻的原因。首先,创建统一的欧洲财政部的政治意愿近乎无存,而且自从欧元问世以来,欧盟的政治凝聚力已经大大削弱。于是,欧债危机看不到明确可见的解决方案。在统一财政部阙如的情况下,各当局一直在试图争取更多时间。
  在一般的金融危机中,这种策略是有效的:随着时间的推移,恐慌会褪去,信心会重返。但这一次,时间是各当局的敌人。由于缺乏政治意愿,问题变得越来越大,政治也变得毒性上升。
  一场危机可以让政治上不可能之事变成可能。在金融危机的压力之下,各当局应该采取一切必要手段来维持体系的完整,但现在它们只做了一点点,市场很快就认识到它的不充分。因此一场危机导致另一场危机。因此欧洲注定要经历似乎没有尽头的系列危机。一些如果早实施本可有效的措施,也在它们变得在政治上可能之后,被证明是不充分的。这是理解欧债危机的关键点。
  我们现在处于这一过程的哪个阶段?那个缺失成分的轮廓正在慢慢清晰起来,这个缺失的成分就是统一财政部。这个轮廓可以在2010年5月欧盟27个成员国达成的欧洲金融稳定基金(EFSF)及其继任者、2013年之后的欧洲稳定机制(ESM)中看到。但是EFSF资本并不充足,其功能也没有被充分限定。它原本是为了向整个欧元区提供一张安全网,但在实践中却变成了向希腊、葡萄牙和爱尔兰这3个小国的救援方案提供融资。它的规模不足以支持西班牙或意大利等更大的国家。它原本也不是为了应对银行系统的问题,尽管后来它把银行和主权国家都放到视野中来。它的缺点在于它是一个单纯的筹资机制,如何花钱的授权则留给了各成员国的政府。这导致EFSF在应对危机时近乎无用,必须等待各成员国的指令。
  最近德国宪法法庭的裁决使得问题更加严重。尽管该法庭认定EFSF符合宪法,却禁止未来在没有议会预算委员会批准的情况下作出对他国有利的担保。这将极大地限制德国政府应对未来危机的自由度。
  下一场危机的种子在各当局应对上一场危机时就已经种下了。他们曾接受这样的原则:接受援助的国家不应被迫支付惩罚性利率,然后他们设立EFSF作为筹资机制来实现这一目的。如果这一原则真的被接受,希腊危机就不会变得像现在这么严重。然而事实是危机传染到了西班牙和意大利,但这些国家却不被允许以希腊那样的较低的、让步的利率获得贷款。这使得他们进入一条最终陷入与希腊同样困境的轨道。就希腊而言,债务负担明显变得不可持续。债务持有人被要求“自愿”接受重组,即接受较低的利率以及延期或降低还款,但一直没有就可能的违约或脱离欧元区达成其他安排。
  这两个缺陷——没有向意大利或西班牙提供让步利率、没有为希腊可能的违约或脱离欧元区做准备——给欧元区其他赤字国家的政府债券和持有大量这些债券的银行系统蒙上了一层厚厚的阴霾。作为权宜之计,欧洲央行(ECB)充当临时代理,在市场上购买西班牙和意大利国债。但这并非可行的解决方案。欧洲央行也买了希腊国债,但并未阻止希腊债务变得无法持续。如果债务占GDP达108%、增长不足1%的意大利不得不支付3%或以上的风险溢价才能借到钱,意大利的债务也将变得不可持续。
  欧央行早先购买希腊国债的决定引起巨大争议,欧央行理事会的德国成员韦伯(Axel Weber)以离职表示抗议。这一干预的确模糊了货币政策和财政政策的界限,但一家央行应该采取一切必要措施来保护金融系统。这在缺少财政当局的情况下尤其如此。随后,争议导致欧央行坚决反对希腊债务重组(包括还款延期等措施),使得欧央行从系统的救星变成了绊脚石。欧央行大获全胜,EFSF将希腊债券可能丧失清偿力的风险从欧央行那里接了过来。
  这一争议的解决反过来使得欧央行更容易开展当前购买意大利和西班牙国债的项目。这两个国家与希腊不同,并非马上要违约。不过,这一决定依然在德国内部遭到与早先对干预希腊国债同样的反对和抵制。欧央行首席经济学家斯塔克(Jürgen Stark)9月9日宣布辞职。在任何情况下,当前的干预都必须受到范围限制,因为EFSF扩大援助的能力几乎已经被对希腊、葡萄牙和爱尔兰进行中的援助操作所耗尽。
  与此同时,希腊政府达到救援项目所附加的条件难度越来越大。监督项目进展的三巨头欧盟、IMF和欧央行感到不满,希腊银行并未充分认购财政部最近拍卖的国债,而希腊政府的资金正在枯竭。
  在这种情况下,有序违约和暂时退出欧元区可能比忍受煎熬更可取。但准备没有做好。无序违约可能导致类似雷曼破产之后的崩溃,况且这次控制崩溃态势所需的一个当局一直阙如。
  于是金融市场陷入恐慌也就不足为怪了。购买政府债券所必需支付的风险溢价大幅攀升,股市暴跌,银行股领跌,最近甚至欧元也向下跌破了交易区间。市场的波动性让人们想起2008年的大崩溃。
  不幸的是,金融当局采取必要措施控制危机的能力被最近德国宪法法庭的裁决所严重限制。似乎各当局“沿路踢罐头瓶”的政策已经走到了尽头。即便大灾难得以避免,有一点是肯定的:削减赤字的压力将把欧元区推入漫长的衰退。这将产生无法估量的政治后果。欧债危机将危及欧盟的政治凝聚力。
  只要各当局坚持当前的路径,欧元区就无法逃脱这种阴暗前景。然而,他们可以改变方向。他们可以意识到现在的路已经走不通,需要采取根本不同的手段。与其默许解决方案的阙如和试图拖延时间,他们可以先去寻找一种解决方案,然后找到一条通向它的路径。作为欧盟最大和评级最高的债权国家,德国必须找到一条通向一个解决方案的路径。德国现在决定着欧洲的未来。下面我将探讨危机的解决之道。
  要解决一场让不可能变成可能的危机,我们有必要思考不可思议之事。首先,必须为希腊、葡萄牙、也许还有爱尔兰违约和脱离欧元区的可能性做好准备。为了防止金融崩溃,需要采取4项措施。首先,银行存款必须得到保护。如果存款人失去了存在一家希腊银行的1欧元,那么存在一家意大利银行的1欧元价值将低于存在一家德国银行或荷兰银行中的1欧元,其他赤字国家的银行将出现挤兑。第二,即将违约国家的部分银行必须维持运转,否则经济将会崩溃。第三,欧洲银行系统必须进行资本重组,并置于欧洲(与国别相对)监管之下。第四,必须保护其他赤字国家的债券不受传染。最后两点即便没有国家违约也同样适用。
  所有这些都需要钱。在现有的安排之下,无法找到更多资金,而德国宪法法庭也不允许在未经议会授权的情况下作出任何新的安排。没有别的选择,只有孕育出那个缺失的成分:一个具有征税权力从而具有借款能力的欧洲财政部。这将需要达成新的条约,将EFSF转型为一个羽翼丰满的财政部。
  这意味着观念上需要一个重大转变,尤其是在德国。德国公众依然认为德国可以选择支持或放弃欧元。这是一种错误观念。欧元的存在与金融系统的资产和负债在统一货币的基础上严重互相关联,欧元的崩溃将造成大熔毁,超出任何当局的控制能力之外。德国公众越晚认识到这一点,他们以及全球其他国家必须付出的代价就越高昂。
  现在的问题是,我们能否说服德国公众认同这一观点。默克尔也许无法说服她自己的政治联盟,但她可以依赖她的总理职位。如果解决了欧债危机,她对下一次大选的担忧将会更少。
  为3个小国的可能破产或退出作出安排并不意味着这些国家将被抛弃。相反,有序违约的可能性将给希腊和葡萄牙提供政策选择。而且,它将结束欧元区赤字国的恶性循环——紧缩政策弱化增长前景,导致投资者要求极高的利率,从而迫使政府进一步削减开支。
  退出欧元可以让它们更轻易地重获竞争力,但如果它们愿意作出必要的牺牲,也可以留在欧元区。在两种情况下,EFSF都将保护银行存款,IMF将帮助银行系统进行资本重组。这将帮助这些国家逃离当前所处的陷阱。听任这些国家崩溃并拖垮全球银行体系,这将违背欧盟的最高利益。
  至于新条约的细节,不应该由我说出来,而必须由各成员国来决定。但是讨论过程必须马上开始,因为即便在极端的压力之下,他们可能也需要很长时间才能得出结论。一旦就设立一个欧洲财政部的原则达成一致,欧洲理事会就可授权欧洲央行临时顶上,提前就欧洲央行自身丧失清偿力的风险进行补偿。这是阻止可能的金融崩溃和另一场“大萧条”的唯一之路。(振玉)
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发表于 2011-10-6 21:09 | 只看该作者
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Tiffany Replica Reviews Replica Site Review of Replicavalley.com: Just What a Girl needs Sep 20, 2009 / Posted in Replica Site Reviews by Sofia 251
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This entry was posted on Sunday, September 20th, 2009 at 1:21 pm and is filed under Replica Site Reviews. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site. Responses to: Replica Site Review of Replicavalley.com: Just What a Girl needs JK ~ 06/08/2010 at 2:36 pm
Hi Sofia,
I’ve had my LV bag from LV for several weeks now. Do you know how long it takes for the leather to turn the honey color? What I have noticed is the leather being a little lighter than the real LV, new so I am wondering if there is anything I can do to have it change quicker. Thanks!
Reply Sofia ~ 06/08/2010 at 9:17 pm
It`s funny the leather changes color also according on how much you wear it
Reply LuvLV ~ 06/10/2010 at 6:59 pm
Hi Sofia,
How long do you think a good replica LV will last if you carry it on a daily basis? I have an authentic LV that I have been carrying pretty much every day for 3 years now. It has held up great through all the wear and tear of daily wear. Not one problem with it. Would you say the same for a replica bag? If I start buying replicas, I may not need to carry a purse for 3 years but I would still like to know if you think it would hold up for that long.
Anybody else have any comments on this as well?
Thanks!
Reply Sofia ~ 06/11/2010 at 11:33 am
I`ve been wearing my Neverful like crazy, same thing with my favourite Speedy, over and over again. The bag lasts. It all depends on you, how you wear it matters most
Reply Gabiru ~ 06/13/2010 at 9:11 am
Hi Sofia,
Love your sight. I raelly want a Hermes Birkin replica. Who does the best job with the Hermes? Who do you recommend?
Reply Sofia ~ 06/14/2010 at 2:13 pm
Hey there Gabiru
Reply Maretes ~ 07/03/2010 at 10:25 pm
Hi there..
Is Beubag a legitimate site?
Reply Maretes ~ 07/03/2010 at 10:27 pm
And also, can you please suggest a good reputable site to buy my first designer bags>>
Reply Sofia ~ 07/05/2010 at 11:04 am
My first suggestion would be
Sofia ~ 07/05/2010 at 11:03 am
Yep, definitely!
Reply Katie ~ 06/22/2010 at 7:35 am
I was just wondering how I would check into a replica site to tell its legitimate?
Reply Sofia ~ 07/05/2010 at 2:13 pm
This should help Katie
Reply jolia ~ 06/22/2010 at 4:14 pm
hi sofia
i want to buy lv diamer canves >>>>i would like to have identical bag to the original …so what is the recommnded site ???
Reply Sofia ~ 07/05/2010 at 1:57 pm
The perfect choice would be
Reply Meiqi ~ 07/07/2010 at 10:55 pm
hello sofia!! i’m a southeast asian, hehe.. and i chanced upon ur site! I must say, I am super duper impressed with ur site, with all the information that we need.. I am definitely recommending your site to my friends, and I am planning to get a LV bag for my mama now May I know, if the site that u recommended-  did they just shifted? Cos i tried everything,glasses frames, but i can’t seem to find their site again! Please tell me whatever happened to them! Otherwise, I would most probably be getting from handbagsmama.com.. Please kindly advise me on this, thank you sooooo much
Reply Sofia ~ 07/08/2010 at 6:13 pm
handbagsmama.com uses pictures stolen from official websites, I`d stay away. Try now, it seems to be working
Reply sam ~ 07/10/2010 at 4:18 am
hi sofia ?? thank u for every thing
really iam wondering that u had written alot of sites review…but u did not post the bags u bought because u did not have time ???
can we see the pic of your bags that u got form replica valley ?? please
Reply Sofia ~ 07/12/2010 at 1:47 pm
Hey Sam!
I did post pictures with a few of my handbags from Replica Valley, plus everytime I wrote a review I posted pictures with the item purchased.
Taking the time to photograph all my handbags is too much for me, considering the fact that I have two children.
Reply Norma ~ 11/09/2010 at 7:34 pm
Hi sofia, i just order Verona PM, hope to recieve my order as soon as possible. Thank’s
Reply Sofia ~ 11/09/2010 at 7:37 pm
Let me know how things go Norma
Reply Norma ~ 11/09/2010 at 7:43 pm
Are they sending me the tracking no?
Lina ~ 07/10/2010 at 8:47 am
Hey Sophia,
Im coming from germany and iam wondering if my bag will arrive because off the controls.
Reply Sofia ~ 07/12/2010 at 1:45 pm
I have some friends that live there, and customs is an issue there indeed. The most they got to order was either a clutch, or a watch but nothing more…
Reply Shelly ~ 07/14/2010 at 12:20 am
Do you know where I can get a good quality miu miu bow ba replica? I’ve been looking EVERYWHERE for a year now, and all the replicas are so poor! They don’t have them in the right colours, and the straps look so shoddy, not at all elegant. PLEASE, if you know of anywhere, let me know, because at this point I’m actually considering just buying the real thing.
Reply Sofia ~ 07/14/2010 at 12:19 pm
Sure I can Shelly! Have you looked at
That`s the place you`re looking for
Reply Shelly ~ 07/14/2010 at 6:51 pm
This sounds a bit silly, but does replicavalle only make copies of actual bags? There is this insanely cute burberry boston bag on there, but I can’t seem to find the real thing anywhere. I just want to make sure that my replica is, well, a replica, lol.
Reply Sofia ~ 07/14/2010 at 7:48 pm
Oh sure, you will see the Boston bag on so many replica sites. Not such a big fan of it though
Reply Shyanna ~ 07/16/2010 at 4:03 am
I really wa t the Alma MM Rose Florentin is replica valley a good site with the same colors and not a cheap plastic?
Reply Sofia ~ 07/16/2010 at 2:46 pm
It`s the best you could choose to get your replica
Reply lapuce ~ 07/16/2010 at 10:50 pm
Sofia,
I got this website from a friend. I saw that the prices are extremely expensive compared to RV. Can you give your comment please.
Reply Sofia ~ 07/19/2010 at 7:56 pm
plus their stolen pictures! Beware Lapuce…
Reply kate ~ 07/19/2010 at 7:48 am
do you work for these guys…?
Reply Sofia ~ 07/19/2010 at 7:43 pm
No!
Reply Sofia ~ 07/22/2010 at 10:26 am
It is, when you`re changing domains. Nothing to be worried about Selena.
Reply ELISA ~ 07/23/2010 at 6:35 pm
HI SOFIA ???
what do u think about this site  ???
Reply Sofia ~ 07/26/2010 at 12:25 pm
First time I look at it, to be honest with you, but I don`t like them, to be avoided I suggest. It`s the leather they use, that I didn`t like while browsing through almost all their LV items.
Reply Saffran ~ 08/05/2010 at 2:00 am
Sofia, have you ever bought this bag from poshmoda, and do you know if Id be getting and indistinguishable replica bag if i did?
Reply Sofia ~ 08/05/2010 at 12:23 pm
It looks great Saffran, I suggest you get it!
Reply Saffran ~ 08/05/2010 at 5:45 am
Hello sofia! First of all I’d just like to say that i love your blog and always find your reviews eery helpful. I have a few questions that need answering by an expert. First of all what is the difference between replica valley and replica vision? Arent they created by the same people and made in the same factory? The websites are identical. And also, for what reason do you prefer replica valley over poshmoda? Who’s bags look more authentic if i for example want a gucci or LV? Personaly i think that the free gift that comes with a poshmoda bag and the free shipping seems great, but then again I don’t want a crapy cheap looking bag just for the extra keychain
Thanks!
Reply Sofia ~ 08/05/2010 at 2:01 pm
Replica Valley and Replica Vision are affiliated
The reason I prefer Replica Valley over Poshmoda is caused by quality. Poshmoda is good. But not as good as Replica Valley. Plus, if you research anywhere you will see that they`re known as being the best for Louis Vuitton and one of best concerning all the other items.
Reply Saffran ~ 08/05/2010 at 5:46 pm
Ok, thanks for the advice! I’ll stick to replica valley then!
Reply Bani ~ 08/17/2010 at 11:53 pm
is replica valley closed down?! i was going to buy a bag today but had to go out. ive been trying to load the site since i came back but it wont go through! all my other sites work fine so it cant be my internet.
im so sad! help please!!
Reply Sofia ~ 08/18/2010 at 1:55 pm
I believe their server was down, you can check it now, it should work
Reply AJ ~ 08/18/2010 at 12:36 am
Hi Sofia.
Im glad i found your blog,what do you think for six-star-replicas.com? If relplicavalley.com is your no.1 choice,what if the bag i want i not listed in their site,any other trusted store?
AJ
Quality Reply Sofia ~ 08/18/2010 at 1:26 pm
Then I try to find the right place to get it from
Oh and here`s my oppinion on Six Star
Reply AJ ~ 08/20/2010 at 11:02 pm
Sofia,
Thanksfor your reply! I have a question, i want to buy Gucci Joy Boston dark coffee bag,i need your suggestion as to where can i buy the best gucci replicas?
Also for LV Damier Canvass Trevi PM?
Thanks alot!
Also for LV Trevi
Reply Sofia ~ 08/23/2010 at 9:15 am
You should definitely try  
Reply Charlotte ~ 08/24/2010 at 2:51 pm
Hi Sofia,
I would like to buy a LV on replicaValley but I’m worried because in Italy buying fake products is a crime, so I don’y know what to do. also I’m scared for the customs duty.I don’t want to see a policeman at my door!
Do you have any suggestion? Please help me!
(sorry for my bad english)
Reply Sofia ~ 08/25/2010 at 8:53 am
Problems with customs could be anywhere, it depends on your luck too, but buying replica has never been a crime. You need not worry, I have some friends there that haven`t complained
Reply ccss ~ 08/29/2010 at 12:12 am
Hi there,
I just ordered the LV damier neverfull mm from replicavalley a couple of days ago. I was kind of hesitant because the pictures are slightly off from the authentic LV. In the picture, the leather is a lot shinier. Do you think that it’s just horrible lighting when replicavalley took the picture of the neverfull? Also, has anyone ordered the damier neverfull from replicavalley before? Ff so,Coach handbags, how was the quality of the handbag? I’m just scared that the bag I ordered will look obvious that it’s a replica and i don’t want the bag ripping in front of everyone-as i am using the bag for university.
Thanks!
Reply Sofia ~ 08/30/2010 at 2:42 pm
The Neverfull is perfect!!!
It`s my favourite handbag of all times The leather is not shiny at all, it could be the lighting that makes it look wrong to you. I`m planning on posting pictures with my Neverfull after a long time of wearing, for everybody to see what kind of quality I`m talking about.
Reply ccss ~ 08/30/2010 at 3:56 pm
Sofia, could you please post up pictures of your neverfull? or could you email them to me? I also noticed that the leather trimming featured in the pictures on replicavalley is a lot lighter than the authentic one and the leather looks wrinkly on replicavalley. I cancelled my order because i wanted to make sure first that the quality is the best and because looking at the pictures have made me doubt the quality of replicavalley’s handbags. I read on the replicavalley guestbook that a lot of people get their bags and it comes with a broken handle and it is too much of a hassle(cost wise) to return the handbag and get a return. Could you please please post up pictures of youre neverfull as s0on as poosible?
Reply Sofia ~ 08/31/2010 at 1:37 pm
Alright, I will take the time tomorrow to send you via email some pictures of my Neverfull
That way you will understand why I am so satisfied with my purchase.
Reply Mary ~ 09/05/2010 at 7:26 pm
Hi Sophia, can you send me pictures of your neverfull bag. I’d like to see the quality as well!
Thanks.
Marie ~ 08/30/2010 at 7:48 am
Do you know where i can buy an excellent quality black balenciaga first replica?
Reply Sofia ~ 08/30/2010 at 1:36 pm
Have you checked ReplicaValley.com? They got some great Balenciaga handbags
Reply Sam ~ 09/02/2010 at 9:29 am
Have you ever ordered from replicahandbagss.com?
I am having a nightmare!
I purchased a fabulous gucci bag this past saturday online and I was sent an email confirming my order and I was told the goods are being checked for quality and I should receive another email with the tracking information. I then sent them another email tuesday inquiring when that email would come because I checked with my CC company and the transaction was processed…..now the saga begins….
They then respond a whole day later and address the email to someone else stating the item wasnt in stock and to choose a different item. I instantly emailed them back letting them know they addressed it to the wrong person with a copy of the confirmation that my item was available and all I wanted was a tracking. I got another email a whole day late stating how they aplogized they used the wrong name and that my item was defective and they need me to choose a different item, so I just emailed them and asked for a refund as promised on their website if the item isnt available for shipping……..I called my CC company and I am being issued a temporary credit and its being investigated because I think I am being scammed……..from reading your blog I think I will try replicavalley…..please wish me luck
Reply Sofia ~ 09/02/2010 at 11:54 am
Good thing you used a credit card Sam! Request a refund as soon as possible.
Good luck and keep us posted!
Reply Brandy ~ 09/02/2010 at 11:21 pm
Hi Sofia!!! Great blog ) I looked into the sight you’ve referenced “www.replicavalley.com” and I am in “AWWW” of ALL of the gorgeous options to choose from, lol… SO, I think I’m going to go with the Speedy Damier 35 however, the pics display it so lightly… and I mean that in the literally sense.. It appears to be a whole 5 shades lighter than the “real” one.. Do you think it is just the lighting??.. Or perhaps, an off color??.. The speedy 30 (Damier) is pictured as its original color.. Any advice or clarity that you (or anyone) may have on the matter would be greatly, greatly appreciated.. )
Reply Sofia ~ 09/03/2010 at 9:24 am
It could be the lighting you know, maybe they should take some new pictures *giggles*
I have the Damier 35 and it`s just the way it should be It`s been months since I got it, no complaints until now
Reply M ~ 09/03/2010 at 12:49 pm
Hi ladies,
I also ordered the Speedy 35 Damier from RV and the French purse to go with. They’re scheduled to arrive today or tomorrow. I will let you know how mine is. ;0)
Happy Friday,
Mimz
Reply fagkdkd ~ 09/04/2010 at 4:20 am
I want to share a web to every one, i found many high-quality and low-cost at
Reply Sofia ~ 09/06/2010 at 12:13 pm
Everything looks cheap to me, I wouldn`t get anything even if I got paid!
Reply Lucy ~ 09/08/2010 at 4:06 pm
Hi, did you order any bag from replicahndbagzone.com? Any experiences with this site? THX
Reply Sofia ~ 09/09/2010 at 12:02 pm
The link doesn`t work. Maybe they shut them down already
Reply ryan ~ 09/05/2010 at 2:36 am
do the bags look exactly like they are in the pictures???
Reply Sofia ~ 09/06/2010 at 12:26 pm
Absolutely Ryan
Reply kishante ~ 09/05/2010 at 2:57 pm
Hi Sophia!
I absolutely adore your site! Thanks so much for all the help. I am looking to buy the Neverfull MM in Damier Ebene, i was wondering if the purse looks ‘right’ to you? The inside, where it says Louis Vuitton ect is embossed and RED. I wanted to know if this is how the real LV looks? I have seen pictures of real ones and i havent been able to tell if they are embossed and red, or just embossed. Please help. Thanks!
Reply Sofia ~ 09/06/2010 at 12:22 pm
It looks fabulous! And the real thing is nothing different, you need not worry
Reply kishante ~ 09/07/2010 at 3:30 pm
Thanks! I placed my order today, and i have to say the customer service was amazing!
Reply Sofia ~ 09/08/2010 at 2:38 pm
That`s great news, keep us posted on how things go
Reply kishante ~ 09/16/2010 at 6:33 pm
Okay so i received my Neverfull from Replicavalley. It arrived on tuesday, which i wasn’t expecting. It came much sooner than i thought it would. From the day i clicked the order button, it took 5 business days (7 including weekend) to get here and it didn’t even go through customs. That alone is reason enough for me to order from them again, because i am not patient AT ALL! The bag is beautiful. The only thing that i can really say for sure that is different from the original is the inside pocket and the location of the date code. When neverfulls were first introduced the inside pocket was only stitched to the bag by the top, however many customers found that if they put heavy items into the pocket it would put too much stress on the trim. So Louis Vuitton decided to start stitching the pocket to the inside of the bag a couple inches down to reinforce the pocket. So the ReplicaValley NF is in the style of the original bag. Also note, the pocket is shorter also.
Overall i am happy with my experience and love my bag.
Mary ~ 09/19/2010 at 4:10 pm
Hi Kishante,
Can you send me pictures of the neverful ebene that you purchased?
Does it look exactly like the authentic one?
Thanks,
Reply kishante ~ 10/14/2010 at 7:47 pm
Hi, Mary
Sorry i am just getting back with you if you would give me your email address i will send you pictures. The neverfull is beautiful, and almost identical. The only thing that is different is the inside pocket. The Replicavalley neverfull is modeled after the original neverfull. Louis vuitton redesigned the pocket because so many people were complaining about the pocket ripping the seam at the top of the bag if they put anything of weight into the pocket. So they made the pocket longer, and used the stitches that connect the straps to the bag to reinforce the pocket. That is the only difference that i can see.
Reply Sofia ~ 10/15/2010 at 10:33 am
Correct Kishante.
Replicapot@gmail.com is my email address, looking forward to see the pics
Reply sara ~ 09/08/2010 at 5:22 am
hi sofia
can u send the pictures of your bags got by replica valley ?? on my email ??please
Reply Sofia ~ 09/08/2010 at 2:30 pm
Oh that would be a lot of work, considering I don`t even know their number
I`ll try to find the time for it
Reply charlotte ~ 09/09/2010 at 3:56 pm
Hi sofia
I’m hoping to order an LV bag from replicavalley but I would be getting it delivered to the UK, would it get through customs?
I’ve heard horor stories of people getting sued by LV for trying to buy fakes…?
Reply Sofia ~ 09/10/2010 at 9:47 am
I have some friends in the UK too, and they never had one complaint about customs. The coast is clear
Reply Sam ~ 09/14/2010 at 4:03 pm
Hi just wanted to follow up from my horror story at replicahandbagss.com….
finally got my refund! Replica Valley here I come!
Reply Sofia ~ 09/15/2010 at 11:01 am
Goody goody, keep me posted!
Reply sandy ~ 09/18/2010 at 12:32 pm
where can I find pictures of replicas bags you bought and posted? I would like to see some before I commit to buying a replica since this would be my first time
thanks
Reply Sofia ~ 09/20/2010 at 5:54 pm
I haven`t managed to do that yet, but I promise I will in the nearby future
Reply Sandy ~ 10/07/2010 at 3:30 pm
If not on this site can you email me some pictures that are not already on this site (ie artsy) … back in july you said that you posted some up so those are fine too. And if you can Im more interested in LV and chanel bags. Thanks so much
Reply Sofia ~ 10/07/2010 at 7:13 pm
If only I can make the time to take some pictures. I`ll try
Reply sandy ~ 11/03/2010 at 12:31 pm
Hello the holidays are coming soon and I would really like to buy bags for presents. I am pretty sure you have other things do but can you please send me some pictures of bags purchased… im sure you have some in your email box that other people send you. can you just forward those to me. im only asking for around three/four different bags/wallets either LV or chanel.
sorry for bothering you about this but i really want to see some products before I actually purchase them
Kelly ~ 10/03/2010 at 10:15 pm
Hi can you please tell me what you think of the site fashionboutiqueshop.com ?
Thanks!!
Kelly
Reply Sofia ~ 10/04/2010 at 2:40 pm
Apparently the link doesn`t work right now…
Reply Linda ~ 10/04/2010 at 5:35 am
Hi Sofia,
I m from Singapore. Would i be able to order from Replicavalley.com. Will they ship the item to my country?
I would like to buy LV bag since yr review is excellent:-)
Reply Sofia ~ 10/04/2010 at 2:14 pm
Why wouldn`t they? You can ask them using their chat application found on the website just to make sure, but I`m pretty sure they do ship
Reply Sue ~ 10/13/2010 at 1:50 pm
Hi Sofia,
It seems that you definitely are connected to replicavalley.com (proprietor? investor? friend’s website?), which is fine – I’m all in support of high quality designer replicas (not all of us can justify a couple of grand for a bag when there are people who can’t even eat). Don’t you think that it would be better if you were more transparent about it? I think in this day and age, people respect a little honesty. I generally go to Hong-Kong directly to purchase my replicas – which have often been authenticated by LV in New York and Toronto. Do replicavalley’s bags stand up to that level?
How about their chanel bags? I’m thinking about purchasing quite a few styles.
Thanks a lot.
Reply Sofia ~ 10/13/2010 at 2:28 pm
Actually, it seems that either you are misinformed, either I am being misunderstood again I am no more connected to them than yourself, dear reader, and being transparent about one of the few things that stands tall in the world of replica, is the last thing I wanna do.
Oh, if they stand up to that level? Let me just call them mirror perfect
Reply Remi ~ 10/13/2010 at 5:56 pm
Sofia ,pls what will u say about topluxurybag.com, i saw some nice Hermes bag on the website.Thanks
Reply Sofia ~ 10/14/2010 at 12:04 pm
All their primary pictures are stolen from official websites, while the rest prove what kind of quality they actually provide. To be avoided
Reply TC ~ 10/14/2010 at 9:08 am
Sofia,
I just read on replicavalley where they say that the leather on the LV bags do patina and turn color BUT the red piping does not change color. Won’t this be any easy way to tell that these bags are fake? I have real LV bags and I believe the red piping turns brown. Thoughts? Thanks for your great info!
Reply Sofia ~ 10/14/2010 at 11:28 am
The red piping does not turn brown TC.
The most it can happen to it is get dirty, but no more than that
Reply TC ~ 10/14/2010 at 12:10 pm
I guess that means my bags are dirty?! Because the red piping does not look so red anymore!
Reply Sofia ~ 10/14/2010 at 1:40 pm
They might be, yes
Reply TC ~ 10/20/2010 at 4:49 pm
Well, I finally made my first purchase and am very excited. I ordered the LV Insolite Wallet in Red and the Gucci Diaper Bag. Hopefully the first of many orders! I have authentic LV bags so looking forward to comparing to the replicas. Customer Service was very pleasant and their website is great. Thanks so much for letting me in on this secret!
Reply Sofia ~ 10/21/2010 at 1:22 pm
Keep me posted on how things go!
Reply TC ~ 11/05/2010 at 7:29 am
Well, I finally received my items from replicavalley. Shipping took a while but communication was good, I was able to track the package and the items were nicely packaged. You do immediately smell plastic when you open the box. Hopefully that is not a bad sign of things to come. I ordered the gucci diaper bag and the LV Insolite Wallet in Red. The diaper bag looks nice and the fabric seems very similar to the real thing. I was not so impressed with the insolite wallet and this is because I have the real thing to compare it to. The LV canvas seems identical. I couldn’t tell a difference. The inside of the wallet is a different story,fake handbags! The red is much more dull and different texture than the real red interior. The logo on the snaps are not identical. The leather zipper pulls are flatter, wider, and softer on the replica. The real ones are narrow,brand bar, thick, and harder. The replica says “made in France” but I believe all should say “Spain” for this wallet so big mistake there! Last they inserted cardboard behind the interior lining of the card slots and zipper compartment….why???! The real thing is soft and NO cardboard.
Overall, I am sad that the wallet was not more identical but maybe my expectations are too high. It wasn’t cheap either. Please tell me that the LV purses are more identical because I had high hopes of getting the Tivoli next
Reply Sofia ~ 11/05/2010 at 2:43 pm
They are also made in France, so that makes things correct. I would love to see your wallet if that is possible? Replicapot@gmail.com is my email address
I got the Tivoli, my mother also got it, they are both mirror perfect, I am warmly recommending it,designer handbags!
Reply TC ~ 11/06/2010 at 3:46 pm
Thanks Sofia. I will take pics and send to you. I used it out last night and the whole time I kept thinking about the plastic smell that is so strong. And the hard cardboard in the wallet. My two biggest complaints! I did look at the gucci diaper bag again and I really like it and it doesn’t smell like the LV
Reply Sofia ~ 11/08/2010 at 3:23 pm
Looking forward to that!
Reply jenne ~ 11/07/2010 at 3:49 pm
why on replica valley does the LV Damier Ebene Speedy 35 look lighter than the original. Also the handles look longer than the original as well. I prefer the 35 over the 30 but I am afraid of ordering the 35 due to the way it looks in the picture. Has anyone ever ordered the speedy damier 35 from replica valley before?
Reply Sofia ~ 11/08/2010 at 3:31 pm
The lighting is wrong unfortunately. Regarding the handles, I`m pretty sure it`s just an impression. All their dimensions are correct
Reply jessica ~ 11/08/2010 at 6:57 pm
hi! do you know how the bags are on e2sweet.com? It looks like they are using the pics of real products? Thanks!!! They don’t have the LV Mahina or the LV Monogram Vernis on replicavalley
Reply Sofia ~ 11/09/2010 at 8:05 pm
They`re affiliated to e2pop.com, both not accepting credit cards as payment methods. They are to be avoided.
Reply jessica ~ 11/09/2010 at 7:09 pm
Anyone purchased speedy 30 damier from replicavalley I’m very interested?? Pictures plz =)
Reply Sofia ~ 11/09/2010 at 7:38 pm
Lots of us did here, right girls?
Reply blank ~ 11/09/2010 at 10:17 pm
i am dying for the Trevi GM in damier but replica valley only has the PM. Should i order it from poshmoda? How it the service and quality
Reply Sofia ~ 11/10/2010 at 3:24 pm
Very good, but…Valley is better
Reply Sofia ~ 09/06/2010 at 12:23 pm
I`ll do my best Mary to have an article up this week
Reply Sofia ~ 09/17/2010 at 8:57 am
Great Kishante, Neverfull power!
Reply kishante ~ 09/17/2010 at 9:51 am
Hey Sophia,
I’d like to do a replica site review of replicaestore, and my experience with them. Could I send it to you?
Reply Sofia ~ 09/17/2010 at 1:10 pm
Sure you can. Send it over at replicapot@gmail.com Looking forward to reading it
Reply Costanza ~ 10/06/2010 at 9:51 am
What about this site ?
What is your opinion ?
Reply Sofia ~ 10/06/2010 at 2:14 pm
I`m sure you don`t wanna be carrying something that cheap on your shoulder. That`s my oppinion
Reply Sofia ~ 11/03/2010 at 1:14 pm
Hmm, if it`s three, four different bags you want to see then you should check out every review I`ve made so far. Take note there are also reviews submitted by readers. Plus, I have one coming up tomorrow!
Reply Sofia ~ 11/10/2010 at 11:28 am
I think you should give them a call
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